Having just celebrated their 250th anniversary, the United States obviously still occupies a central position on the global chessboard. Yet this position is increasingly being challenged by China, while its historic allies, battered by Washington’s aggressive policies, are now readily turning to other partners. Domestically, the country has never appeared so divided and vulnerable since the years preceding the Civil War. Political polarization has reached a peak, ethnic, cultural and religious tensions are multiplying, while movements advocating greater autonomy are emerging in several territories or states. Added to this are unprecedented frictions between certain major Democratic-led cities and an increasingly authoritarian federal government.

In response to these upheavals, the IRIS Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States, as it has done since its creation in 2023, provides in-depth analyses of the economic, social, political, diplomatic and military transformations under way on the other side of the Atlantic. These developments will be examined through policy briefs, conferences and videos by leading North American and French experts, in order to shed light both on the internal dynamics at work in the United States and on their repercussions for France, the European Union and the rest of the world.

In partnership with

  • Academy of Political Science
  • Columbia SIPA
  • Chaire Raoul Dandurand
Where Trump’s War Might Be Heading

Notes / Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States

17 March 2026

Where Trump’s War Might Be Heading

Lincoln Mitchell

Political analyst, essayist, lecturer at Columbia University

The Trump era has forever changed the US

Notes / Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States

13 February 2026

The Trump era has forever changed the US

Lincoln Mitchell

Political analyst, essayist, lecturer at Columbia University

The essentials

The research team

  • Romuald Sciora

    Romuald Sciora

    Director of the Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States at IRIS

  • Marie-Cécile Naves

    Marie-Cécile Naves

    Senior Research Fellow, IRIS

  • Jeff Hawkins

    Jeff Hawkins

    Non-resident Research Fellow at IRIS, Former U.S. Ambassador

  • Camille Boulenguer

    Camille Boulenguer

    Research Fellow, IRIS

They contribute to the observatory

  • Frédérick Gagnon

    Frédérick Gagnon

    Associate Member of the IRIS Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States, Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Quebec in Montreal, and Director of the Raoul-Dandurand Chair