The War in Ukraine and Europe’s Geopolitical awakening

Since the second war broke out in Ukraine on 24 February 2022, there has been a proliferation of analyses of the causes and consequences of this conflict, but all these analyses will be of no use if they do not help shed light on the future. That’s why many of them use scenarios that aim to cover the most plausible hypotheses. However, the world is by nature chaotic, and the future rarely fits into scenarios.

If we Europeans want to become the actors of our own destiny and not just the spectators of a story written by others, then our role is not to predict the future, but on the contrary, in the words of Antoine de Saint-Exupéry, to make it possible.

So, let us try to draw out the essence of what has happened over the last fifteen months in order to envisage a desirable future – a genuinely geopolitical European Union – and above all a practical way of getting there…