Jordan Two-Years Scenario Analysis. Deteriorating Resilience and Increasing Vulnerabilities

The evolving, multi-fronted conflicts in Syria and Iraq present the greatest challenges to Jordan’s security and stability. While the country has experienced several huge waves of migration in its short history, the most recent influx of Syrian refugees escaping war has exacerbated extant structural weaknesses and caused the government to consider new strategies to cope with the burgeoning refugee community, now officially reaching almost 700,0001—almost one-tenth of Jordan’s population. This has impeded Jordan’s economic recovery from the financial crisis and the Arab Spring, and has increased needs in governorates with the highest proportion of refugees—especially those in Mafraq, Irbid and Amman.