The Shangri-la Dialog 2023: Toward the Cold War 2.0 and Its Dynamics

Taking seriously the parallel of differences drawn by the great historian Niall Ferguson between the two World Wars WWI and WWII and the first Cold War CWI between the US and the USSR, and the current “Cold War CWII” between the US and China, I propose to deepen the analysis of the kind of international relations we could be confronted with in the next decade by focusing on the impact of the digital revolution. It will help us to highlight differences between the CWI’s nuclear security dilemma and the CWII’s cyber security dilemma like differences between the WWI’s trenches warfare vs the WWII’s blitzkrieg. Hence, to organize our analysis, I suggest we use a study case on energy infrastructure and companies into the context of the Shangri-La Dialog 2023, one of the most recent and important events for debating security in East and southeast Asia where cyber issues are structuring the global balance of power…