Summary of Somalia Perspective Analysis. A five year outlook

Since the ousting of Siad Barre, Somalia is considered as the exemplary failed state characterized by a collapse of government structures, ongoing conflict, a militant insurgency, high levels of poverty and a precarious humanitarian situation. In recent years, there have been some positive developments and nascent indications of stability are emerging in the country. The formation of the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) in 2012 established the country’s first permanent administration since 19911, marking the end of the flawed Transitional Federal Government’s eight-year rule. However, the country still faces a wide array of challenges posing a great risk to continued progress. The lacking legislative and institutional framework, logistical and security constraints, renders the initially planned popular vote in 2016 unachievable. The contested federalization process remains slow in its implementation and is a critical source of tension and disputes.